Okay all this is to be taken lightly, but I did a tally of the pre-cursor awards for the Oscars (tallying up all awards that have been handed out so far, and nominations). Here is the list of the top 5 in each catagory (which would make you think, these would be the top 5 biggest contenders for Oscar)
BEST PICTURE
MILK (way ahead in first place with 5 nominations and 1 win)
SLUMDOG MILLIONAIRE (in 2nd with 3 nominations and 1 win)
WALL-E (surprisingly in 3rd with 2 nominations and 1 win)
FROST/NIXON (with 3 nominations)
THE DARK KNIGHT (with 3 nominations)
BEST ACTOR
SEAN PENN - MILK (with 2 wins and 6 nominations, the frontrunner)
MICKEY ROURKE - THE WRESTLER (with 1 win and 5 nominations)
CLINT EASTWOOD - GRAN TOURINO (with 1 win and 2 nominations)
RICHARD JENKINS - THE VISITOR (with 4 nominations)
FRANK LANGELLA - FROST/NIXON (with 3 nominations)
BEST ACTRESS
SALLY HAWKINS - HAPPY GO LUCKY (with 2 wins and 3 nominations)
ANNE HATHAWAY - RACHEL GETTING MARRIED (with 1 win and 4 nominations)
MELISSA LEO - FROZEN RIVER (tied with Anne 1 win and 4 nominations)
MERYL STREEP - DOUBT (with 1 win and 2 nominations)
ANGELINA JOLIE - CHANGELING (with 3 nominations)
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
HEATH LEDGER - THE DARK KNIGHT (with 2 wins and 4 nominations)
JOSH BROLIN - MILK (with 2 wins and 3 nominations)
JAMES FRANCO - MILK (with 3 nominations)
PHILLIP SEYMORE HOFFMAN - DOUBT (with 3 nominations)
MICHAEL SHANNON - REVOLUTIONARY ROAD (with 2 nominations)
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
PENELOPE CRUZ - VICKY CHRISTINA BARCELONA (with 3 wins and 6 nominations)
ROSEMARIE DEWITT - RACHEL GETTING MARRIED (with 1 win and 3 nominations)
VIOLA DAVIS - DOUBT (with 5 nominations)
TARAJ P HENSEN - CURIOUS CASE OF BENJAMIN BUTTON (with 3 nominations)
MARISA TOMEI - THE WRESTLER (with 3 nominations)
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