My Golden Globe Predictions

This Sunday is the Golden Globes - which I cannot wait for.
Here .. are my predictions for the movie and television awards.
Here's who I want to win, and who I think will win.


BEST PICTURE DRAMA
want to win - Milk
will win - Slumdog Millionaire

BEST ACTRESS DRAMA
want to win - Angelina Jolie: Changeling
will win - Anne Hathaway: Rachel Getting Married

BEST ACTOR DRAMA
want to win - Sean Penn: Milk / Mickey Rourke: The Wrestler
will win - Mickey Rourke: The Wrestler

BEST PICTURE MUSICAL/COMEDY
want to win - Burn After Reading
will win - Vicky Christina Barcelona

BEST ACTRESS COMEDY
want to win - Frances McDormand: Burn After Reading
will win - Sally Hawkins: Happy Go Lucky

BEST ACTOR COMEDY
want to win - Dustin Hoffman: Last Chance Harvey
will win - Dustin Hoffman: Last Chance Harvey

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
want to win - Amy Adams: Doubt / Viola Davis: Doubt
will win - Penelope Cruz: Vicky Christina Barcelona

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
want to win - Phillip Seymore Hoffman: Doubt
will win - Heath Ledger: The Dark Knight

BEST ANIMATED FILM
want to win - Wall-E
will win - Wall-E

BEST FOREIGN FILM
want to win - I've Loved You So Long
will win - Gomorrah

BEST DIRECTOR
want to win - Danny Boyle: Slumdog Millionaire
will win - Danny Boyle: Slumdog Millionaire

BEST SCREENPLAY
want to win - Doubt
will win - Slumdog Millionaire

BEST SCORE
want to win - Changeling
will win - Defiance

BEST ORIGINAL SONG
want to win - The Wrestler by Bruce Springstein
will win - The Wrestler by Bruce Springstein

BEST TV SERIES DRAMA
want to win - True Blood
will win - Mad Men

BEST ACTRESS TV DRAMA
want to win - Kyra Sedgwick: The Closer
will win - Mariska Hargitay: Law and Order SVU

BEST ACTOR TV DRAMA
want to win - Johnathen Rhys Meyers: The Tudors
will win - Gabriel Byrn: In Treatment

BEST TV SERIES COMEDY
want to win - Weeds
will win - 30 Rocks

BEST ACTRESS TV COMEDY
want to win - Mary Louise Parker: Weeds
will win - Tina Fey: 30 Rock

BEST ACTOR TV COMEDY
want to win - Alec Baldwin: 30 Rock
will win - Alec Baldwin: 30 Rock

BEST MINI OR MADE FOR TV MOVIE
want to win - Recount
will win - John Adams

BEST ACTRESS IN A TV MOVIE
want to win - Catherine Keener: An American Crime
will win - Laura Linney: John Adams

BEST ACTOR IN A TV MOVIE
want to win - Tom Wilkinson: Recount
will win - Paul Giamatti: John Adams

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS ON TV
want to win - Laura Dern: Recount
will win - Diane Weist: In Treatment

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR ON TV
want to win - Neil Patrick Harris: How I Met Your Mother
will win - Tom Wilkinson: John Adams

** these could change between now and then, but I am pretty certain these are my picks

December Predictions

So here are how things are changing in my mind.
Times are a-changing.
As of right now, this is who I think will get the oscar nods:

BEST PICTURE


BEST ACTOR


BEST ACTRESS


BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR


BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

My Latest Predictions

Here are my latest Oscar predictions


BEST PICTURE




BEST ACTOR




BEST ACTRESS





BEST S. ACTOR





BEST S. ACTRESS



changes:
Dropped Revolutionary road off of best picture
Dropped Kate Winslet off of best actress, put her in top spot for supporting
Added Angelina Jolie back onto best actress
Added Elsa Zylberstein (from Ive Loved You So Long) into supporting
Meryl dropped lower, but still in contention

My latest Oscar Predictions

I'm sure the constant Oscar prediction updates are killing Nicholas, but I can't wait to look back and see if I had it right come nomination time. With buzz changing from one way to another, here are my latest nominations.

BEST PICTURE






Milk
Slumdog Millionaire
Revolutionary Road
The Dark Knight
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button

*horrific reviews have dropped Australia out of the running. Slumdog looks poised to be this years Juno and as Benjamin Button slides down, I think Batman will slide in.

BEST ACTOR






Mickey Rourke - The Wrestler
Sean Penn - Milk
Richard Jenkins - The Visitor
Clint Eastwood - Gran Tourino
Frank Langella - Frost/Nixon

* I think its Mickey Vs. Sean at this point, the others should just be glad to be nominated.

BEST ACTRESS






Anne Hathaway - Rachel Getting Married
Kristin Scott Thomas - I've Loved You So Long
Melissa Leo - Frozen River
Kate Winslet - Revolutionary Road
Maryl Streep - Doubt

* As the buzz grows for underdog Melissa Leo, a biggy like Angelina Jolie has dropped off, and Meryl isn't far behind because of the bad reviews she's getting early on from Doubt. Anne Hathaway seems to be holding on the most despite her movie being released first.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR






Heath Ledger - The Dark Knight
James Franco - Milk
Phillip Seymore Hoffman - Doubt
Josh Brolin - Milk
Michael Shannon - Revolutionary Road

* Its still Heath's to lose, and he won't. I think the Milk boys may get 2 nods in 1 catagory however.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS






Viola Davis - Doubt
Penelope Cruz - Vicky Christina Barcelona
Kate Winslet - The Reader
Marisa Tomei - The Wrestler
Cate Blanchett - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button

* Cate is new, although I think it still may come down to Viola or Penelope.

So as far as it looks, I have the winners as this:

Best Picture - Milk
Best Actor - Mickey Rourke: The Wrestler
Best Actress - Anne Hathaway: Rachel Getting Married
Best S. Actor - Heath Ledger: The Dark Knight
Best S. Actress - Viola Davis: Doubt

End of Nov. Oscar Roundup

So there's been a ton of changes to my Oscar predictions, so here is my list as of now:
(I will continue this up until the Oscar nominees are announced .. my hope is to predict all 5 nominees in the top awards)

BEST PICTURE






The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Milk
Revolutionary Road
The Dark Knight
Australia

The changes here are pretty extensive. I Have moved "The Curious Case of Benjamin Button" to number 1 on the list, over "Milk" since last week. The reason being, its is receiving really good early word, and it has an Oscar loved cast (Brad, Cate, Tilda). "Revolutionary Road" is a solid lock for a nomination I'd say. I switched out "Definace" and "Gran Tourino" with "Australia" and "The Dark Knight", which is seeming to be a good shot at the best picture category (for many reasons, most of which come down to how much money it made .. Oscars will want to attract attention this year and have people want to watch. Nominating Dark Knight for best pic will help that). I think "Definace" will just be too small, and "Gran Tourino" will have to wrestle itself with the other Clint Eastwood directed movie "Changeling", and it will probably split votes, therefore not making it into the top 5.

BEST ACTOR






Mickey Rourke - The Wrestler
Sean Penn - Milk
Richard Jenkins - The Visitor
Leonardo DiCaprio - Revolutionary Road
Brad Pitt - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button

Things have changed big time in this category too. Mickey Rourke is drawing career best accolades for his work in "The Wrestler", and the Academy loves a comeback kid (after Rourke has been washed up for a long long time). Added onto that the trailer alone makes his performance look AMAZING! Sean Penn is a lock, just not sure if he is a lock to win, so he dropped down from the top spot. Brad drops down to the bottom of the likely nominees and Frank Langella and Clint Eastwood have been dropped off completely for 2 new choices: Richard Jenkins and Leonardo DiCaprio. I expect Revolutionary Road to be a big hit, and for the academy to notice both leads this time (unlike Titanic where Winslet got the nod and DiCaprio didn't). And the buzz around Richard Jenkins is HUGE, if random.

BEST ACTRESS






Kristin Scott Thomas - I've Loved You So Long
Anne Hathaway - Rachel Getting Married
Meryl Streep - Doubt
Kate Winslet - Revolutionary Road
Angelina Jolie - Changeling

These are the same choices before, just in a different order. I still have Scott Thomas in the top spot, because right now she is the most likely winner out of the most intense competition of the night. Anne Hathway is being considered a breakout with this performance, and that helps. Meryl Streep is facing some mixed reviews for Doubt, but I honestly doubt she will not be included. Kate Winslet is looking at double nominations this year, so you have to wonder if she will get 2 nods or if she will only get 1 and be a guaranteed winner. I don't know, but I think she will be able to pull out 2 nominations (but probably no wins). Angelina Jolie drops down because of some negative press about her personally, and because Changeling didn't get the best of reviews, however she received career best reviews for her performance. I still think she will be included, however I think a win from her may be far fetched (damn).

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR






Heath Ledger - The Dark Knight
Josh Brolin - Milk
Phillip Seymore Hoffman - Doubt
Liev Schrieber - Definace
Robert Downey Jr. - Tropic Thunder

The thing about this race is, no one but Heath Ledger has a shot of winning. Its his award, the other nominees should just be glad they are nominated. Rather or not he has turned in the best performance, he's going to win. However if there was a threat it would be Josh Brolin, because of a string of great performances not awarded or namoinated by the academy (No Country for Old Men and W come to mind). I've switched out Brad Pitt for "Burn After Reading" with Robert Downey Jr for "Tropic Thunder" because I think he actually has a shot to get in after an outstanding comeback year.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS






Marisa Tomei - The Wrestler
Viola Davis - Doubt
Penelope Cruz - Vicky Christina Barcelona
Kate Winslet - The Reader
Amy Adams - Doubt

I have moved Tomei to the top spot because of the buzz on The Wrestler and because she is a past winner who hasn't been nominated since. She's also getting great buzz. Viola Davis is still the probable winner. She only has 3 scenes in Doubt, but is rumored to steal the movie from Meryl Streep, a tough task. Penelope and Kate I think are locks for nominations. Cruz's buzz is seemingly going to stand strong to get her at least a nomination. I have replaced Debra Winger with Amy Adams. I feel that she is the new Academy darling, and she was snubbed last year, and lost when she should have won for "Junebug" I think that locks her in.

Until next time!

November Oscar Predictions

SO I am starting a new countdown to the Oscars. Based on what I know, each month I will predict the 5 nominees for the big races at the Oscars, to see how it changes as the months count down until the oscars, which are just around the New Year. Let's see how I do.

Without further a due, here is the predictions, as of November:
*note these are in order from predicted winner on the left to the nominees

BEST PICTURE

Milk, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button, Revolutionary Road, Defiance, Gran Tourino

BEST ACTOR

Sean Penn - Milk, Mickey Rourke - The Wrestler, Frank Langella - Frost/Nixon, Brad Pitt - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button, Clint Eastwood - Gran Tourino

BEST ACTRESS

Kristin Scott Thomas - I've Loved You So Long, Angelina Jolie - Changeling, Meryl Streep - Doubt, Anne Hathaway - Rachel Getting Married, Kate Winslet - Revolutionary Road

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Heath Ledger - The Dark Knight, Liev Schrieber - Defiance, Phillip Seymore Hoffman - Doubt, Josh Brolin - Milk, Brad Pitt - Burn After Reading

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Viola Davis - Doubt, Marisa Tomei - The Wrestler, Penelope Cruz - Vicky Christina Barcelona, Kate Winslet - The Reader, Debra Winger - Rachel Getting Married

And here is a compilation of 3 people in each race that shouldn't be counted out yet:

Best Picture: Australia, Doubt, Changeling

Actor: Benicio Del Toro - Che, Hugh Jackman - Australia, Leonardo DiCaprio - Revolutionary Road

Actress: Sally Hawkins - Happy Go Lucky, Mellissa Leo - Frozen River, Nicole Kidman - Australia

Supporting Actor: Robert Downey Jr - Tropic Thunder, James Franco - Milk, John Malkovitch - Changeling

Supporting Actress: Amy Adams - Doubt, Taraj P. Hensen - Curious Case of BB, Kathy Bates - Revolutionary Road


Thoughts??

Will update any changes next month.